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52 cards are equally given to 4 players a,b,c,d. a and b have together total 8 spades among them. Find probability that c has 3 spades out of remaining 5.

In this ques , sample space reduces to 44 cards , so is the answer 5C3 * 39C10 /44C13 Correct ?

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Best answer
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a and b together have 26 cards so 26 cards are left.

Since a and b together have 8 spades so 5 spades are remaining.

Now with remaining 26 cards there are 5 spaces so 21 non-spades.

For c to have exactly 3 spades, 

${}^5C_3$ --> to have 3 spades of remaining 5

${}^{21}C_{10}$ --> to have other 10 non-spades

This makes a total of 13 cards 

So probability is $$\frac {{}^5C_3. {}^{21}C_{10}}{ {}^{26}C_{13}}$$

PS: For at least 3 spades probability would be $$\frac{{}^5C_3 . {}^{21}C_{10} + {}^5C_4 . {}^{21}C_9 +{}^5C_5 .{}^{21}C_8}{{}^{26}C_{13}}$$.

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I feel $\frac{\binom{5}{3}\binom{39}{10}}{\binom{44}{13}}$ is not the correct answer, correct answer should be $\frac{\binom{13}{3}\binom{39}{10}}{\sum_{x = 0}^{5}\left ( \binom{13}{x}\binom{39}{13-x} \right )}$ (that is $0.30$).


The only given thing is that $A$ and $B$ together have $8$ Spades and consequently $C$ and $D$ together will have $5$ Spades.

It is not given that which $8$ Spades out of the $13$ are contained by $A$ and $B$. 

If it was given that which $8$ Spades are contained by $A$ and $B$ then $\frac{\binom{5}{3}\binom{39}{10}}{\binom{44}{13}}$ would have been the correct answer.


Explanation for $\frac{\binom{13}{3}\binom{39}{10}}{\sum_{x = 0}^{5}\left ( \binom{13}{x}\binom{39}{13-x} \right )}$ :

Favourable outcomes for choosing $C$ : Choosing any $3$ Spades from $13$ available Spades and choosing remaining $10$ cards from the $39$ cards would be a legitimate favourable choice that is we have $\binom{13}{3}\binom{39}{10}$ favourable choices.

All possible outcomes for choosing $C$ : As it is given $A$ and $B$ have $8$ Spades, it can be concluded that $C$ and $D$ together will have exactly $5$ Spades.

So number of Spades that may be contained by $C$ can be any element from the set $\left \{ 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 \right \}$.

e.g. $C$ can have $5$ and $D$ can have $0$ Spades, 

$C$ can have $4$ and $D$ can have $1$ Spades and so on.

The number of ways in which $C$ can have $x$ Spades is same as number of ways of choosing $x$ Spades from $13$ and number of ways of choosing $\left ( 13-x \right )$ other cards from $39$, that is $\binom{13}{x}\binom{39}{13-x}$.

$x$ can be any element of the set $\left \{ 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 \right \}$.

So all possible outcomes   $= \sum_{x = 0}^{5}\left ( \binom{13}{x}\binom{39}{13-x} \right )$.

Hence the desired Probability $= \frac{\binom{13}{3}\binom{39}{10}}{\sum_{x = 0}^{5}\left ( \binom{13}{x}\binom{39}{13-x} \right ) }\approx 0.30$.

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