A plane is missing and it is presumed that it was equally likely to have gone down in any of three possible regions. Let 1 − αi denote the probability the plane will be found upon a search of the ith region when the plane is, in fact, in that region, i = 1, 2, ... What is the conditional probability that the plane is in the ith region, given that a search of region 1 is unsuccessful, i = 1, 2, 3?

answered
Mar 17, 2018
in Probability
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