Rank Predictor

Question

Sir,

I am really surprised by the way the expected score is changing in Pragy's App. I'm not asking if it has duplicate entries or anything like that, I know that the predictor is legit. However, what I'm concerned about is the expected score. My expected score goes down by some margin as and when someone with higher marks than me checks his/her response sheet. On the other hand, the reverse is not true. It doesn't increase by any margin (let alone significant) when the number of people who have lower marks than me increase.

I just want to know if there is a chance of deviating from this expected score, and by how much? Will it even increase anymore? Or it will only go further down as the number of people ahead of me increase?

Comments

Okay..Thank you Sir.. feeling a bit relieved to know that the score won't go down further.. :)

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by any chance is GO adding marks by itself so as to cover those candidates who have not checked their rank till now?becoz last year civil paper was definitely very easy as compared to this year. but rank showing is more or less same as last last year corresponding to same marks

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GO is not adding any extra mark- anyway you can wait just 10 more days

Answer 1

I. Think they have not used uniform distribution but some sort of exponential distribution

What it means is that whenever people lower than your rank increase that thing is already factored in the distribution so that is expected and not changes things much