edited by
15,337 views
58 58 votes

An examination paper has $150$ multiple choice questions of one mark each, with each question having four choices. Each incorrect answer fetches $-0.25$ marks. Suppose $1000$ students choose all their answers randomly with uniform probability. The sum total of the expected marks obtained by all these students is

  1. $0$
  2. $2550$
  3. $7525$
  4. $9375$

7 Answers

Best answer
138 138 votes

Answer is option D.

Probability of choosing the correct option = $\frac{1}{4}$
Probability of choosing a wrong option = $\frac{3}{4}$

So, expected mark for a question for a student = $\frac{1}{4} \times 1 + \frac{3}{4}\times (-0.25) = 0.0625$

Expected mark for a student for $150$ questions = $0.0625 \times 150 = 9.375$

So, sum total of the expected marks obtained by all $1000$ students = $9.375 \times 1000 = 9375$.

edited by
42 42 votes

It is a Binomial experiment as we are doing the same bernouli experiment repeatedly. 

Which is the Bernouli experiment here ? Visiting a question and checking whether it is a correct answer or not. Why it is a Bernouli experiment ? Because a question can have either correct answer(success) or wrong answer(failure).

Total number of questions we are visiting,n = 1000*150 = 150000.

Let X be a random variable which indicates number of correct answer among the total of 150000 questions.

E(X) (i.e) Expectation of X (i.e) Expected number of correct answers = n * p  (since it is a binomial experiment)

                                    where n  is no: of Bernouli experiments and p is probability of success (i.e) probability of correct answer.

Here n = 150000 , p = 0.25

So,

     Expected number of correct answers = 150000 * .25 = 37500.

     Expected number of wrong answers = 150000 - 37500 = 112500.

Expected Total marks = Expected number of correct answers * number of marks per correct answer + Expected number of wrong answers * number of marks per wrong answer.

                                   = [37500 * 1] + [112500 * (-.25)] 

                                   = 37500 - 28125

                                   = 9375

8 8 votes
Expected marks per question is = -0.25 * 3/4 + 1 * 1/4 = 1/16
Since choice is uniformly distributed, expected marks = 150*1000/16 = 9375
5 5 votes

Firstly, pivot one individual

Let X be the number of questions attempted correctly by this person

$ E[X] = np = 150 \times \frac{1}{4} = 37.5$

Expected marks = $37.5 – (150-37.5)*0.25$ = 9.375

expected marks will be same for all 1000 students,

sum of expected marks will be 1000*9.375 = 9375


Just explaining few more facts about this problems,

Number of question attempted correctly by each individual is a binomial’s distribution, (then marks is just a linear function over number of questions attempted, which then again will be binomial) and it is the combination of 150 Bernoulli’s distribution one for each individual question in the exam, (This is the idea behind ans given by Arjun Sir)

Let $X_i$ defines the marks scored by $i^{th}$  person let final result X, would be defined by

$\displaystyle X = \sum_{i=1}^{1000} X_i$

$\displaystyle E(X) = E( \sum_{i=1}^{1000} X_i) = 1000\cdot E(X_1) $

edited by
0 0 votes

Expected marks = E[X]
E[X] = E[X1] + E[X2] + E[X3] + ... E[X150] where E[Xi] is expected marks of question i

E[X1] = 0.25 * 1 + 0.75 * -0.25 = 0.0625 = E[X2]  = E[X3] = ..... = E[X150]


E[X] = 150 * 0.0625 = 9.375
Total sum of expected marks for 1000 students = 1000*9.375 = 9375

Answer:
Position:
Show:

Related questions

49 49 votes
7 answers 7 answers
16.4k
16.4k views
Kathleen asked Sep 18, 2014
16,360 views
A point is randomly selected with uniform probability in the $X-Y$ plane within the rectangle with corners at $(0,0), (1,0), (1,2)$ and $(0,2).$ If $p$ is the length of t...
42 42 votes
7 answers 7 answers
13.4k
13.4k views
Kathleen asked Sep 18, 2014
13,367 views
Two $n$ bit binary strings, $S_1$ and $S_2$ are chosen randomly with uniform probability. The probability that the Hamming distance between these strings (the number of b...
61 61 votes
6 answers 6 answers
29.2k
29.2k views
Kathleen asked Sep 18, 2014
29,220 views
$A$ and $B$ are the only two stations on an Ethernet. Each has a steady queue of frames to send. Both $A$ and $B$ attempt to transmit a frame, collide, and $A$ wins the f...
30 30 votes
4 answers 4 answers
9.7k
9.7k views
Kathleen asked Sep 18, 2014
9,742 views
If a fair coin is tossed four times. What is the probability that two heads and two tails will result?$\frac{3}{8}$$\frac{1}{2}$$\frac{5}{8}$$\frac{3}{4}$